Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Why would Iran want a nuke?

No, seriously. Why?

Non-state Actors: Which ones? Hamas would say no way in hell. I mean, come on- they want a unified Muslim Palestine, not a Palestine with a mushroom cloud over it! That's crazy! Hizbullah wouldn't do it for the same reason- And Lebanon is smaller too! And Al Qaeda? Al Qaeda hate's Shiites, and wants to install a world-wide caliphate that would rule like the caliphs of old. In other words: No psuedo-democracy in Iran and no Supreme Leader of Iran. Iran wouldn't gain.

Israel: Has second strike capabilities. Al Khamaeni is hardly the least rational man around (the President has no power in that regard), and probably understands that Iran would be wiped out in case of nuclear war. Or, more likely, when it got a nuke. I don't think he wants that. Notice that there has been no direct Israel-Iran War, for instance- simply terrorist allies who have no interest in nukes.

America: See Israel, except Iran would really have to work on delivery systems and build lots and lots of nukes. Did I say lots? Well, we have 10,000 nukes...And we'd probably attack them immediately. Stalin lied about how many nukes the USSR had upon testing because he thought that America would nuke Russia if it thought the Soviet Union had dropped its one and only nuke.

I have a bad feeling he was right.

Soooo why? I think I have an answer:

Didn't the CIA say that Iran ended its Nuclear Weapons Program in 2003? Didn't something happen then?

...OOOoooooooh!

We all know now that Iraq didn't have Weapons of Mass Destruction aka Nuclear Weapons and/or chemical weapons. But the 2002-3 debate wasn't about that; even the French thought Saddam had it. In 1991 we learned that Saddam was farther ahead in his nuclear weapons program than was commonly thought. In 1980 Israel striked the Osirak reactor under suspicion of the creation of nukes. And France designed the Nuclear reactor.

And where did Israel get its nuclear technology? FRANCE.

No, I'm not insane. There's a connection.

You see, The French intelligence (probably less faulty than our CIA) also thought that Iraq had WMDs. The French just saw things differently: Did we have to invade just for the suspicion that his nuclear program was ready? Would it be so bad if Iraq had one? Israel's certainly didn't seem to do much. And the French get money out of it by selling technology! Why not?

Iran would say "Us!". And if Iran has stopped its program, it's because we gave them a reason.

Maybe I missed something...why would Iran want a nuke?

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